USD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong sector fundamentals in semiconductors, coupled with high leveraged exposure, could drive USD upward. Historical returns show a positive skew with high past performance, suggesting potential rallies.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and sharp historical corrections indicate potential for bearish reversals. Recent price decrease from a year ago, coupled with negative USD sentiment, heightens downside risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Continued upward momentum due to sector strength (35%).
  2. Moderate pullback triggered by current high valuations (35%).
  3. Sharp correction from unexpected macroeconomic shifts (30%).



June 10, 2025


ProShares Ultra Semiconductors Forecast

USD        ProShares Ultra Semiconductors











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USD



DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.9)


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (0.87)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (0.81)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.8)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USD



RLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RLX  RLX Technology (0.0)


MMYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MMYT  MakeMyTrip (-0.01)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (-0.01)


VYM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VYM  Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx (-0.01)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USD



PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.66)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.67)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (-0.68)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.7)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.74)









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