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USD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: USD's historical returns indicate strong potential. The semiconductor industry is poised for growth, supported by technological innovation and high demand.

Bearish Case: USD's negative recent price actions and high implied volatility suggest potential profit-taking and bearish trends. External pressures might exacerbate declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth driven by sector strength (30%).

2. Stabilization (50%).

3. Further decline amid uncertainty (20%).

Trading Oracle: Deploy a short-term bullish debit spread. Buy USD 60 calls, sell USD 70 calls expiring in 30 days. This aligns with high expected reward:risk and an increasing bullish sentiment.

January 29, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USD

ANET Arista Networks (0.93)

ETR Entergy (0.81)

SONY Sony Group Corporation (0.75)

ALV Autoliv (0.74)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USD

VOYA Voya Financial (0.0)

OLED Universal Display (-0.0)

DOMO Domo (0.01)

ABR Arbor Realty (-0.01)

IQV IQVIA (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USD

EPR EPR Properties (-0.73)

INFY Infosys (-0.74)

BOIL ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.74)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.89)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.89)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.