USEG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: USEG's recent uptick and increased energy demand could drive growth, supported by ongoing projects and technology adoption.




Bearish Case: Ongoing regulatory pressures and historical underperformance pose significant risks, indicating potential further declines.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Rising energy demand boosts profitability (60%).

2. Regulatory pressures harm traditional assets (70%).

3. Successful clean tech adoption enhances growth (30%).




Trading Oracle: Implement short-term bearish debit spreads (1-3 months) due to regulatory pressures. Favor Helium Short Volatility strategies. Capture reward:risk by betting on temporary price spikes followed by declines.



January 30, 2025


U.S. Energy Forecast

USEG        U.S. Energy











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Assets that tend to move strongly with USEG



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UAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAL  United Airlines (0.87)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (0.86)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (0.85)


MIR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIR  Mirion Technologies Inc. (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USEG



SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (0.0)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (0.0)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.0)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.01)


INFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFA  Informatica (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USEG



BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.79)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.8)


HSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSY  Hershey (-0.81)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.81)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (-0.81)









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