UUP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: UUP could rise due to increasing demand for safe-haven assets with global economic uncertainty, indicated by lower volatility and a flattening term structure.




Bearish Case: Prevailing economic policies and geopolitical tensions could weaken USD, leading UUP lower, supported by backwardation in the volatility term structure and declining historical returns.




Potential Outcomes: UUP stabilizes around $27.50 (40%), rises to $28.50 on favorable GDP data (35%), or falls to $26.50 if inflation cools unexpectedly (25%).



July 10, 2025


Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Forecast

UUP        Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UUP



LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (0.78)


CRGY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRGY  Crescent Energy Company - (0.72)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.71)


SNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNA  Snap-on (0.7)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UUP



TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.0)


AB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AB  AllianceBernstein (0.0)


GEOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEOS  Geospace (0.0)


CPRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPRI  Capri (0.01)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UUP



EGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EGO  Eldorado Gold (-0.74)


O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (-0.79)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (-0.81)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.81)


NGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGG  National Grid (-0.84)









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