VBK Forecast


Bullish Case: VBK has shown a 24.1% increase over two years and 10.8% over the past year. With the bullish risk 37% more than bearish risk, and call options trading at 81% more volume than puts, positive momentum is evident. Historical returns favor bullish scenarios for holding periods up to two years.


Bearish Case: Recent price action is neutral with a slight decline of 1.0% from the previous month. The HeliumTrades AI forecast for today is -0.06%, showing minimal positive correlation. High implied volatility at lower strike prices indicates potential for larger downside moves.


Potential Outcomes: A market push (55%) drives VBK up 10% due to strong sector performance and institutional investments, stagnation (30%) keeps prices stable reflecting mixed forecast, and a pullback (15%) dropping VBK by 5% driven by elevated implied volatility and macroeconomic pressures.


Trading Oracle: Initiate a debit bull call spread expiring in Sept 2024 (265/275 strike) leveraging the implied volatility surface. With a time outlook of 3 months, this strategy has positive edge, a high reward-to-risk ratio, and a high probability-of-profit as VBK navigates expected bullish trends.


June 27, 2024


Vanguard Small Cap Growth Forecast

VBK      Vanguard Small Cap Growth











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VBK



VXF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXF  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Market Index (0.99)


RSP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RSP  Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight (0.98)


MIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIDU  Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (0.98)


TMHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMHC  Taylor Morrison Home (0.97)


BOTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOTZ  Global X Funds Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelli (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VBK



RGTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGTI  Rigetti Computing (0.0)


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (-0.0)


NOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOC  Northrop Grumman (-0.0)


UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.0)


SVOL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SVOL  Simplify Volatility Premium (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VBK



SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.94)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.94)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.98)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.99)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)





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