VTV Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The VTV’s recent call trading volume, higher than put volume, and consistent historical returns indicate strong bullish sentiment. Market uncertainty is lower than Helium's forecast, suggesting market confidence.




Bearish Case: Mean reversion tendencies, alongside the higher Helium implied volatility compared to the market, signal potential downside risks. Uncertain economic factors could amplify volatility and pressure prices lower.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of positive momentum from institutional inflows supporting a gradual upside.
  • 30% chance increased volatility leads to downside risks.
  • 20% chance of flat price action amid market uncertainty.




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February 22, 2025


Vanguard Value Forecast

VTV        Vanguard Value











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VTV



VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.98)


SPLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLV  Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility (0.96)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.93)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.93)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VTV



VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.0)


AMRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMRC  Ameresco (-0.01)


AIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIG  American International (0.01)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.02)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VTV



COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.81)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.82)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.82)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.82)


SAGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAGE  Sage Therapeutics (-0.82)









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