VTV Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The VTV’s recent call trading volume, higher than put volume, and consistent historical returns indicate strong bullish sentiment. Market uncertainty is lower than Helium's forecast, suggesting market confidence.




Bearish Case: Mean reversion tendencies, alongside the higher Helium implied volatility compared to the market, signal potential downside risks. Uncertain economic factors could amplify volatility and pressure prices lower.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of positive momentum from institutional inflows supporting a gradual upside.
  • 30% chance increased volatility leads to downside risks.
  • 20% chance of flat price action amid market uncertainty.




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying the $177.00 call and selling the $180.00 call with a 28-day outlook. This exploits the implied volatility difference for high reward and potential returns, aligning with the momentum and institutional sentiment. Expected annualized return is substantial, considering historical support levels and recent market conditions.



February 22, 2025


Vanguard Value Forecast

VTV        Vanguard Value











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VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.93)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.93)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VTV



VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.0)


AMRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMRC  Ameresco (-0.01)


AIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIG  American International (0.01)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.02)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VTV



COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.81)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.82)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.82)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.82)


SAGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAGE  Sage Therapeutics (-0.82)









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