ACAD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: ACAD's commitment to R&D, driven by promising developments in Nuplazid and Daybue, coupled with solid long-term growth in CNS treatments, supports a potential upward trajectory.


Bearish Case: Persistent low implied volatility, historical flat trading, and ongoing insider selling suggest market skepticism and potential for continued stock underperformance.


Potential Outcomes: 30%: Continuous flat trading; 30%: Negative market reaction to insider sales; 20%: Positive R&D outcomes; 20%: Broader market volatility impact.


Trading Oracle: Selling debit spreads is ideal. Use the August $16 put and buy the $14 put. High implied volatility and bearish sentiment provide a favorable risk-reward profile.


June 30, 2024


Acadia Pharmaceuticals Forecast

ACAD      Acadia Pharmaceuticals











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