ACAD Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: ACAD could experience a bullish reversal if upcoming clinical trial results inspire renewed investor confidence, potentially raising implied volatility above current levels of 63.58%.




Bearish Case: Continued insider selling may signal persistent negative sentiment, driving ACAD's stock lower, particularly given high implied volatility from puts traded 1440% more than calls.




Potential Outcomes:

1.

**40%

**: Positive trial results boost stock above $17.

2.

**30%

**: Further insider selling leads to drop below $14.

3.

**20%

**: Steady revenue growth stabilizes price around $15.

4.

**10%

**: Negative market event propels drop to $12.




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October 20, 2024


Acadia Pharmaceuticals Forecast

ACAD        Acadia Pharmaceuticals











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