WFCF Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: WFCF's position in the premium food market aligns with growing consumer demand for safety and traceability, supported by positive long-term return trends and potential regulatory benefits. Recent patterns suggest a market rebound may be imminent.




Bearish Case: Economic downturns, regulatory hurdles, and increased competition pose significant risks to WFCF. Mean-reverting price trends indicate stagnation, and historical data shows limited short-term upside potential, especially given recent price action.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. Consumer health trends drive WFCF growth (25%).
  • 2. Regulatory changes favor WFCF (15%).
  • 3. Continued stagnation due to competition (30%).
  • 4. Economic recovery promotes premium spending (20%).
  • 5. Supply chain issues pose risks (10%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish vertical debit spread with long calls at $12.00 and short calls at $14.00, targeting a 3-month horizon. This balances potential upside from market recovery with controlled risk, benefiting from implied volatility increases as the market stabilizes.



December 18, 2024


Where Food Comes From Forecast

WFCF        Where Food Comes From











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FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.7)


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CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.66)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.62)



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INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.0)


V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WFCF



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ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.62)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.63)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.63)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.73)









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