XERS Forecast


Bullish Case: Xeris Biopharma shows strong fundamentals with projected revenue growth and increased institutional interest, supporting a bullish outlook. The term structure suggests potential volatility easing, enhancing upside potential.


Bearish Case: Despite positive projections, XERS faces significant market uncertainty and historical volatility patterns indicate risks of price declines, particularly if operational challenges continue to affect profitability.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Revenue growth accelerates (60%).

2. Institutional interest declines (40%).

3. Stock price rebounds to $3.00 (50%).

4. Market volatility persists (65%).

5. Significant operational missteps lead to further loss (35%).


Trading Oracle: Utilize a debit spread strategy by buying August 2024 $2.50 Calls and selling $5.00 Calls to exploit potential upside with limited risk. Target a bullish sentiment focusing on the upcoming earnings report for a high reward: risk scenario.


July 25, 2024


Xeris Biopharma Forecast

XERS      Xeris Biopharma











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with XERS



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.26)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.21)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.02)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.28)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XERS



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.02)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.21)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.26)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.28)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XERS



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.26)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.21)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.02)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.28)





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