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XPEL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: XPEL shows strong past growth and is 8.7% up over 90 days. Positive sentiment and expansion strategies could drive further gains.



Bearish Case: XPEL faces 18.9% drop from last year. High implied volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties could further pressure prices.



Potential Outcomes:

1) XPEL rises if sentiment improves (30%),

2) Stock stabilizes with no clear catalysts (40%),

3) Declines with worsening economy (30%).



Trading Oracle: Sell short-term put credit spreads below $40 due to relatively high implied volatility and recent price stability, capturing premium decay with limited downside risk. Focus on March expiry.


January 22, 2025











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with XPEL


CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (0.76)


ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (0.75)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.66)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.63)


PBPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBPB  Potbelly (0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XPEL


XLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLB  Active Trust - Materials Select Sector SPDR (-0.0)


CORN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORN  Teucrium Corn (0.0)


TAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAN  Invesco Solar (0.01)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


SNPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNPS  Synopsys (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XPEL


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (-0.53)


GME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GME  Gamestop (-0.55)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.6)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.65)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.69)







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