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XPEL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: XPEL's market expansion and innovative product offerings may drive a recovery, supported by long-term historical returns suggesting high potential for gains.

Bearish Case: Recent price declines and high implied volatility signal ongoing uncertainty, with bearish sentiments supported by macroeconomic headwinds and elevated market risks.

Potential Outcomes: Stock trends sideways due to uncertainty (50%).
Improves if macro conditions strengthen (30%).
Declines with persistent challenges (20%).

Trading Oracle: Opt for Bearish Long Volatility: high implied volatility and recent downward trend favor buying OOTM put options and selling fewer further OOTM puts with positive edge potential. Link: Bearish Strategy

March 04, 2025

Reg S Forecast

XPEL Reg S

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with XPEL

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.65)

CRC California Resources (0.61)

EXAS Exact Sciences (0.61)

VTRS Viatris (0.56)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.52)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XPEL

FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.0)

BAH Booz Allen Hamilton (-0.0)

ICHR Ichor (0.0)

ALLT Allot (-0.0)

INDI Indie Semiconductor (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XPEL

ATHM Autohome (-0.35)

TWO Two Harbors Investment (-0.36)

TRI Thomson-Reuters (-0.44)

ENVX Enovix (-0.51)

HIMX Himax (-0.55)

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