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Bullish Case: FDA's support for accelerated approval and recent positive data suggest potential upside if MESO meets endpoints, and its therapies for heart failure and GvHD get approved.


Bearish Case: MESO's checkered past with FDA rejections and reliance on future trial results create uncertainty, potentially leading to stock underperformance if expected approvals falter.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 65%: FDA approval after successful trial results.

2. 25%: Delays or rejections by FDA hampering MESO's progress.

3. 10%: Competition or unforeseen setbacks disrupting development.


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March 27, 2024


Mesoblast Forecast

MESO        Mesoblast
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






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ZTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ZTO]  ZTO Express (Cayman) (0.92)


AEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AEE]  Ameren (0.92)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MESO



MGM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MGM]  MGM Resorts International (-0.0)


FXB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FXB]  Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling (-0.0)


WULF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [WULF]  TeraWulf (-0.0)


HPE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HPE]  Hewlett Packard Enterprise (0.0)


TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TPR]  Tapestry (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MESO



UEC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UEC]  Uranium Energy (-0.91)


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMGN]  AMGEN (-0.91)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CBOE]  Cboe Global Markets (-0.91)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [STNG]  Scorpio Tankers (-0.91)


AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMR]  Alta Mesa Resources (-0.92)





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