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USB Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: USB's mean-reverting pattern suggests potential for a steady rebound. Increased call volume indicates bullish sentiment, and regulatory support for stablecoin initiatives could offer new growth opportunities.



Bearish Case: Backwardation in the options term structure suggests near-term uncertainty. Continuing macroeconomic challenges, like global currency shifts, could further strain USB's margins.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Financial recovery boosts USB: 40%
  • Persisting macro pressures weigh down: 40%
  • Moderate upswing from mean reversion: 15%
  • Market shocks depress prices: 5%


June 20, 2025


U.S. Bancorp. Forecast

USB        U.S. Bancorp.

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USB


PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (0.97)


RF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RF  Regions Financial (0.96)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.94)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.94)


IWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWO  iShares Russell 2000 Growth (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USB


TBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBF  ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.0)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.0)


BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (0.0)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.01)


COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USB


SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.53)


GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (-0.53)


STNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNE  StoneCo (-0.54)


OKTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OKTA  Okta (-0.54)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.57)







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