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AP Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Ampco-Pittsburgh's potential for mean reversion and recent operational improvements hint at a positive outlook. The historical return surface shows a moderate probability of recovery over longer periods, given strategic shifts and market niches.



Bearish Case: AP's high implied volatility and sustained underperformance suggest further downside, amplified by market skepticism and economic uncertainties. Current holding patterns indicate likelihood of continued negative returns, as shown by historical trends.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 50%: Price stabilization around $2.00 due to high volatility and historical trends.
  2. 30%: Downtrend to $1.50 if negative sentiment and market pressures persist.
  3. 20%: Rebound to $2.50 driven by potential market recovery and restructuring success.


April 17, 2025


Ampco-Pittsburgh Forecast

AP        Ampco-Pittsburgh

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