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ORLY Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ORLY shows strong historical performance and resilience with a bullish risk skew. Helium's implied volatility is above market expectations, indicating potential upward movement.

Bearish Case: Flat term structure and low trading volume suggest potential for stagnation. High recent put volume compared to calls raises concerns about downside risks.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price recovery driven by strategic growth (30%).

2. Continued stagnation due to competitive pressures (45%).

3. Broader market downturn affecting price (25%).

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May 06, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ORLY

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (0.92)

LRN Stride (0.9)

LNG Cheniere Energy (0.89)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.87)

TVTX Travere Therapeutics (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ORLY

RMBS Rambus (0.01)

TTI Tetra Technologies (-0.01)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.03)

STLD Steel Dynamics (-0.04)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ORLY

ADNT Adient (-0.92)

STM New York Shares (-0.92)

ASH Ashland (-0.94)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.94)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.94)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.