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PENN Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: PENN's expansion in sports betting, impressive partnerships, and potential for revenue growth provide optimism. Stability in implied volatilities signals market confidence, despite historical underperformance.



Bearish Case: High historical volatility and increased put trading volume suggest downside risks. Concerns over regulatory changes and competitive pressures add negative weight. High implied volatility levels indicate market concern.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 35% chance of mild recovery fueled by sports betting expansion.
  • 40% probability of range-bound movement reflecting market stabilization.
  • 25% risk of further decline due to competitive pressures.


April 20, 2025


Penn National Gaming Forecast

PENN        Penn National Gaming

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PENN


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.8)


TFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TFC  Truist Financial (0.77)


XLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLG  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 (0.76)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.76)


SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PENN


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (0.0)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.0)


WNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WNS  WNS Holdings Limited (0.01)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (-0.01)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PENN


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.46)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.47)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.49)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.51)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.59)







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