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UBS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: UBS's synergy from Credit Suisse merger and focus on wealth management can unlock market share gains, supported by stable long-term volatility outlook.



Bearish Case: Integration challenges and capital requirements could weigh on UBS, leading to volatility and potential price corrections, especially amidst regulatory scrutiny in Switzerland.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 35%: Successful integration boosts UBS stock.
  • 25%: Regulatory challenges impact growth.
  • 20%: Economic conditions cause downturn.
  • 20%: Stability with no major changes.


April 18, 2025


UBS Forecast

UBS        UBS

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Assets that tend to move strongly against UBS


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