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ARES Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ARES could capitalize on results from new defense contracts and partnerships, driving stock price growth, as historical returns and high implied volatility suggest potential upward movements.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties could lead to increased risk aversion, potentially resulting in price declines if geopolitical tensions escalate or financial conditions tighten.

Potential Outcomes: Increased defense sector growth: 35% probability, fueled by new contracts.

Sustained volatility: 30% probability, due to economic uncertainties.

Geopolitical risks: 20% probability, affecting global market stability.

Flat performance: 15% probability, amidst sector competition.

April 17, 2025

Ares Forecast

ARES Ares

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARES

AXP American Express (0.96)

MAC Macerich (0.93)

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KKR KKR (0.92)

MTB M & T (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARES

CMCSA Comcast (-0.01)

ESTC Elastic (0.02)

INTU Intuit (0.02)

CZR Caesars Entertainment (0.03)

NOG Northern Oil and Gas (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARES

DVN Devon Energy (-0.67)

XP XP (-0.67)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.71)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.72)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.74)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.