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KOS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strategic positioning in the energy sector and increasing call option interest suggest potential upside. Historical return surfaces show possibility of recovery.

Bearish Case: Flat recent price action, high implied volatility, and macroeconomic uncertainties indicate possible downside if earnings or oil prices disappoint.

Potential Outcomes: Earnings beat, stock rallies (32%). Continued flat movement (38%). Earnings miss, stock declines (30%).

April 16, 2025

Kosmos Energy Forecast

KOS Kosmos Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KOS

MUR Murphy Oil (0.98)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (0.96)

ADNT Adient (0.96)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.96)

CRON Cronos (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KOS

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (0.01)

APPN Appian (-0.02)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.03)

HL Hecla Mining (-0.03)

FLR Fluor (-0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KOS

AGI Alamos Gold (-0.84)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.85)

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.86)

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.87)

LRN Stride (-0.9)

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