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MTCH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MTCH's strong portfolio, especially Tinder, could see increased user engagement and monetization, as recent trends in AI-driven features attract users.

Bearish Case: Ongoing competition and regulatory scrutiny may lead to diminished market share and revenue, shown by recent declines in share price and user growth stagnation.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of MTCH continuing to decline as competition intensifies.
40% chance of price stability as market dynamics settle.
30% chance of a rebound due to innovations and engagement.

May 11, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MTCH

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (0.72)

PHG Koninklijke Philips (0.71)

EXAS Exact Sciences (0.7)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.7)

LEN Lennar (0.68)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTCH

QYLD Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (0.0)

EXC Exelon (-0.01)

TTI Tetra Technologies (0.01)

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.01)

MEOH Methanex (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTCH

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.49)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.51)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.57)

ETR Entergy (-0.62)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.62)

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