MRK Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Merck's recent opening of a Biotechnology Learning Center and expansion in Darmstadt highlight sustained investment in innovation. Projected growth in Keytruda and Gardasil sales suggests ongoing strength.


Bearish Case: Pending Keytruda patent expiries and production issues with HPV vaccines indicate potential revenue pressures. Insider sales and market competition could dampen investor confidence.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Due to upheld patent performance (60%).

2. Loss from biosimilar competition (35%).

3. Gains from oncology portfolio expansion (40%).

4. Strategic alliances boost share value (30%).


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April 30, 2024


Merck Forecast

MRK        Merck
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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