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BRK.B Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Berkshire's historical resilience, diversified holdings, and strategic energy and tech investments continue to drive steady growth, offering a solid return potential.

Bearish Case: Leadership transitions and mean-reverting price action, along with potential economic downturns, pose risk to Berkshire's strong historical performance and price growth.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth through diversification and strong sectors (60%).

2. Economic pressures reduce returns (25%).

3. Leadership changes cause setbacks (10%).

4. Regulatory impacts disrupt performance (5%).

Trading Oracle: Bearish short volatility strategy: Sell near-term $480 calls, buy $490 calls with a 10-day expiration. Capitalize on mean-reverting price tendencies and moderate SPY volatility for a high reward:risk ratio. This aligns with BRK.B's historic performance.

February 08, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BRK.B

SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.94)

IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.94)

CINF Cincinnati Financial (0.91)

CBRE CBRE (0.91)

AFL Aflac (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BRK.B

FMC FMC (-0.0)

DELL Dell (0.01)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.01)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BRK.B

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.82)

IEP Icahn (-0.82)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.82)

SHLS Shoals (-0.84)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.