ACRS Forecast


Bullish Case: Positive Phase 2 data for leading assets and recent insider buying demonstrate strong commitment despite near-term price struggles. [Helium] [simplywall.st]


Bearish Case: Significant market skepticism due to negative mean reversion, low IV, and competitive challenges. High implied volatility suggests pessimism. [Helium] [Helium] [Helium]


Potential Outcomes: Positive clinical data (55%), new licensing deals (35%), trial failures (30%), increased competition (45%). Historical trends and emerging data informed probabilities. [Metaculus] [Helium]


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June 28, 2024


Aclaris Therapeutics Forecast

ACRS      Aclaris Therapeutics











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ACRS



VTYX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTYX  Ventyx Biosciences (0.85)


POET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   POET  POET (0.81)


PCTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCTY  Paylocity (0.8)


CELH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CELH  Celsius (0.8)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACRS



ARCT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARCT  Arcturus Therapeutics (0.0)


TYO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYO  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.0)


SON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SON  Sonoco Products (-0.0)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.0)


WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACRS



CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (-0.77)


LOGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LOGI  Logitech International (-0.83)


LPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LPG  Dorian LPG (-0.83)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (-0.84)


KTOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KTOS  Kratos Defense & Security (-0.85)





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