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AI ACRS Forecast


Bullish Case: ACRS could see a significant rebound if upcoming trial results for RA and AD are positive, backed by the strong recent licensing deal and historical mean reversion trends indicating potential recovery in stock price.



Bearish Case: Continued cash burn and negative trial outcomes may erode investor confidence, with high competition in AD treatments limiting market share and resulting in further declines in ACRS’s stock price.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive Phase 2 data (70%);

2. Negative clinical trial results (30%);

3. New licensing deals increase revenue (50%);

4. Increased competition impacts market share (40%);

5. Further cash burn leads to stock price declines (60%).



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September 24, 2024


Aclaris Therapeutics Forecast

ACRS        Aclaris Therapeutics

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J Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   J  Jacobs Engineering Group (0.39)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACRS


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (0.0)


EXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPI  eXp World (0.0)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (0.0)


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TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACRS


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RIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIO  Rio Tinto (-0.45)


BUD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUD  Anheuser-Busch (-0.46)


FLNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNC  Fluence Energy (-0.49)


TTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTWO  Take-Two Interactive Software (-0.55)







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