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ACT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ACT's mean-reverting pattern with favorable regulatory prospects suggests robust near-term growth. High implied volatility indicates potential upside.

Bearish Case: Regulatory uncertainties and elevated implied volatility present downside risks. Historical returns show significant variability, indicating potential sell-offs.

Potential Outcomes: Favorable AI export regulations enhance ACT's growth (70%). Mean reversion sustains (25%). Regulatory hurdles depress price (5%).

Trading Oracle: Consider long volatility debit spreads exploiting elevated implied volatility. Target $38-$40, expecting favorable outcomes within a 3-6 month horizon. Regulatory clarity provides upside potential aligning with historical patterns.

February 22, 2025

Enact Forecast

ACT Enact

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ACT

AFL Aflac (0.92)

DTE DTE Energy (0.92)

XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (0.92)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.91)

SO Southern (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACT

SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.0)

XPEL Reg S (0.01)

JBLU Jetblue Airways (-0.01)

CRC California Resources (-0.01)

ONTO Onto Innovation (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACT

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.79)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.79)

ICHR Ichor (-0.8)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.8)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.84)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.