XPEL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: XPEL's market expansion and innovative product offerings may drive a recovery, supported by long-term historical returns suggesting high potential for gains.




Bearish Case: Recent price declines and high implied volatility signal ongoing uncertainty, with bearish sentiments supported by macroeconomic headwinds and elevated market risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Stock trends sideways due to uncertainty (50%).
  • Improves if macro conditions strengthen (30%).
  • Declines with persistent challenges (20%).




Trading Oracle: Opt for Bearish Long Volatility: high implied volatility and recent downward trend favor buying OOTM put options and selling fewer further OOTM puts with positive edge potential. Link: Bearish Strategy



March 04, 2025










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with XPEL



CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (0.72)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.69)


CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (0.61)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.56)


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (0.52)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XPEL



CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (0.0)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (0.0)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.0)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (0.0)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XPEL



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.3)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.34)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.34)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.51)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.55)









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