AFL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Aflac's strong market position, diversified revenue, and declining implied volatility support growth potential. Its historical mean-reverting nature combined with bullish social sentiment provides optimism for future gains.




Bearish Case: High insider trading, coupled with mean-reverting price action and backwardation, suggests potential downside. Volatility trends indicate uncertainty, and past overvaluation concerns may limit upside potential.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Strong growth from diversified revenue (35%).
  • Mean-reversion leading to stability (30%).
  • Downside from insider trading impacts (35%).



April 02, 2025


Aflac Forecast

AFL        Aflac











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ADC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADC  Agree Realty (0.9)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.88)


SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.88)


CCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCK  Crown Holdings (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AFL



HUBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUBS  HubSpot (-0.0)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.0)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (0.0)


BAH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAH  Booz Allen Hamilton (0.01)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AFL



PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.7)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.74)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.74)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.74)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.83)









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