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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Aflac's resilient fundamentals and market leadership in the insurance sector, combined with favorable economic conditions, suggest potential for upward price movement in the short term.



Bearish Case: Recent insider trading controversies may impact investor sentiment negatively, leading to potential downward pressure on Aflac's share price in the coming weeks.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive earnings report boosts stock: 60% chance.

2. Sustained market volatility due to economic changes: 40% chance.

3. Further insider revelations cause loss of confidence: 30% chance.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish long put spread by purchasing 3 AFL 110 puts and selling 2 AFL 105 puts. This captures favorable volatility ahead of earnings, with expected profitability of 70% based on historical trends and reduced market uncertainty. Keep an eye on market events that may cause volatility.


November 13, 2024


Aflac Forecast

AFL        Aflac

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Assets that tend to move strongly against AFL


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