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AFL Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <—> Bullish

Bullish Case: Aflac is poised for growth as rising interest rates support diversified revenues, alongside a favorable earnings report anticipated soon. Continued institutional investment reflects confidence, suggesting upward momentum.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates market uncertainty, suggesting potential downside risk due to ongoing insider trading headlines. Market reaction to these events could weigh negatively on stock performance.

Potential Outcomes: Institutional investment increase: 65% chance due to stronger market confidence.
Negative impact from insider trading: 50% chance if negative news persists.
Higher earnings from diversified revenues: 60% probable based on favorable economic conditions.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish strategy utilizing a debit spread by buying $110 calls and selling $115 calls, capturing upside in case of favorable earnings. Utilize the high implied volatility to maximize profit potential, maintaining focus on upcoming earnings dates for adjustments.

December 11, 2024

Aflac Forecast

AFL Aflac

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AFL

TWO Two Harbors Investment (-0.0)

GIII G-III Apparel (-0.0)

ARKK ARK Innovation (0.01)

ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.01)

AVTR Avantor (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AFL

IEP Icahn (-0.89)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.9)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.92)

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.94)

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