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AFL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Aflac's strong market position, diversified revenue, and declining implied volatility support growth potential. Its historical mean-reverting nature combined with bullish social sentiment provides optimism for future gains.

Bearish Case: High insider trading, coupled with mean-reverting price action and backwardation, suggests potential downside. Volatility trends indicate uncertainty, and past overvaluation concerns may limit upside potential.

Potential Outcomes: Strong growth from diversified revenue (35%).
Mean-reversion leading to stability (30%).
Downside from insider trading impacts (35%).

April 02, 2025

Aflac Forecast

AFL Aflac

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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HEI Heico (0.91)

CB Chubb (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AFL

NXST Nexstar Media (0.01)

CRC California Resources (0.01)

HUBS HubSpot (-0.02)

OPCH Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (-0.02)

ULCC Frontier (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AFL

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.81)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.81)

ETSY Etsy (-0.82)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.85)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.9)

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