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AGI Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: AGI's strategic acquisitions, sustained earnings growth, and an increase in institutional interest, combined with favorable volatility conditions, indicate potential for continued upward momentum. Current mean reversion suggests recovery from recent lows, bolstered by gold market dynamics.



Bearish Case: Market uncertainty with high implied volatility, coupled with potential operational challenges post-acquisition, signals risk of pullbacks. Historical mean reversion patterns and flattening term structure suggest caution, with geopolitical and market volatility concerns persisting.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stability due to acquisition synergies: 45%
  • Volatility-induced corrections: 35%
  • Growth propelled by investor sentiment: 15%
  • Sharp decline from geopolitical factors: 5%


April 19, 2025


Alamos Gold Forecast

AGI        Alamos Gold

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AGI


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (0.95)


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.84)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.82)


EQX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQX  Equinox Gold (0.81)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AGI


PHG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHG  Koninklijke Philips (0.01)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.01)


PCOR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCOR  Procore (-0.01)


GCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GCO  Genesco (0.01)


NLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NLR  VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AGI


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.82)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.83)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.83)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.84)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.85)







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