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AIR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AIR's historical price trend shows upward resilience, reflected in recent 12.5% weekly gain Helium. Flat term structure and significant 51% increase over five years Helium bolster a bullish perspective.

Bearish Case: Social skepticism and flat price action Helium, combined with sector challenges such as competition and costs Helium, indicate potential downside risk. Backwardation in the term structure suggests uncertainty Helium.

Potential Outcomes: Price appreciation due to demand (60%).
Regulatory setbacks (20%).
Geopolitical tensions influencing prices (15%).
Market stabilization (5%)

Trading Oracle: Adopt a near-term bull call spread, buying the AIR 70.00 C and selling the 75.00 C Feb 21, 2025. This strategy captures potential upside while limiting risk. Leverages higher implied volatility at the strike price and anticipates bullish momentum from current price trajectory, targeting robust demand signals.

January 15, 2025

AAR Forecast

AIR AAR

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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FPI Farmland (0.47)

SCHW Charles Schwab (0.44)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AIR

NOK Nokia (0.0)

COHR Coherent (-0.0)

EXR Extra Space Storage (0.0)

EH EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.0)

MLI Mueller Industries (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AIR

ILMN Illumina (-0.41)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (-0.44)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.46)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.49)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.51)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.