FPI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Favorable technological advancements in agriculture may enhance FPI's productivity, coupled with increased institutional interest in farmlands as a hedge against inflation.




Bearish Case: Regulatory risks and high interest rates create significant challenges for FPI, with declining foreign ownership potentially leading to reduced capital flow and market impact.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 60% chance of growth from tech and demand.
  • 30% regulatory and interest rate impacts.
  • 10% extreme weather disruptions.



June 20, 2025


Farmland Forecast

FPI        Farmland











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FPI



FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (0.82)


ARCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARCC  Ares (0.82)


BXSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BXSL  Blackstone Secured Lending Fund. (0.8)


AMZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMZN  Amazon.com (0.8)


ET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ET  Energy Transfer LP (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FPI



YUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YUM  Yum Brands (-0.0)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.0)


GEOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEOS  Geospace (-0.01)


QCOM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QCOM  Qualcomm (0.01)


MTN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTN  Vail Resorts (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FPI



LMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LMT  Lockheed Martin (-0.61)


ALC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALC  Alcon (-0.64)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.64)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.66)


O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (-0.67)









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