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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Allstate's implied volatility is relatively low compared to historical averages. The significant call option volume and favorable implied volatility could indicate strong investor confidence and potential upward momentum.



Bearish Case: Economic pressures and unresolved legal challenges could strain Allstate's finances. Imposed rate hikes and geographic risk exposures increase potential for adverse conditions affecting profitability and stability.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Increased Premium Revenue Boosts Profitability (45%) – Higher premiums could significantly improve revenue.
  2. Legal Constraints Worsen (25%) – Ongoing legal issues might erode trust.
  3. Market Volatility Impact (30%) – Economic uncertainty could drive market dynamics unpredictably.



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April 23, 2025


Allstate Forecast

ALL        Allstate

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