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AMH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AMH is resilient, with strong demand in single-family rentals and potential institutional backing, pointing towards gradual price recovery in a stabilizing housing market.

Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and market uncertainty could further suppress AMH's growth, exacerbated by high debt and insider sales, with limited short-term upside.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion continues (60%)
Short-term economic pressures drive prices lower (30%)
Increased institutional interest boosts prices (10%)

Trading Oracle: Adopt a short-term bearish strategy with credit spreads. Sell OTM AMH puts expiring in 1-3 months, leveraging mean-reverting tendencies and capturing time decay. Favorable risk-reward with high probability due to current market sentiment.

January 31, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMH

EIX Edison International (0.78)

AMT American Tower (0.68)

KBH KB Home (0.63)

EXR Extra Space Storage (0.63)

LEN Lennar (0.61)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMH

OPCH Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (-0.0)

YPF YPF (-0.0)

CNI Canadian National Railway (0.0)

GLW Corning (-0.0)

PL Planet Labs PBC - (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMH

VIR Vir Biotechnology (-0.61)

DAN Dana (-0.64)

USAC USA Compression (-0.66)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.68)

TYO Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.69)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.