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AMH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong demand for single-family rentals and strategic growth could drive AMH's performance positively.

Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and economic downturns present significant risks, potentially impacting margins and growth.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion (~60%)
Economic downturn impacts (~25%)
Institutional activity boost (~15%)

Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility Strategy suggests high uncertainty around future prices due to observed volatility. This strategy captures potential downside based on current uncertainty trends and negative economic signals.

April 11, 2025

American Homes 4 Rent Forecast

AMH American Homes 4 Rent

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMH

CL Colgate-Palmolive (0.74)

EIX Edison International (0.74)

CUBE CubeSmart (0.72)

ACGL Arch (0.66)

TYD Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (0.65)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMH

VIST Vista Oil & Gas Sab De Cv (-0.0)

W Wayfair (0.0)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (-0.0)

QTWO Q2 (0.01)

TFC Truist Financial (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMH

DAN Dana (-0.56)

DDD 3D Systems (-0.57)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.58)

RMBS Rambus (-0.59)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.68)

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