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AMKR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: AMKR's strategic partnership with TSMC boosts its position in the semiconductor industry, suggesting strong future demand and potential upward price movement as volatility expectations rise.



Bearish Case: Market overvaluation and significant put volume highlight skepticism surrounding AMKR's growth, with recent downturns indicating potential downside risk and corrections looming.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued demand surge in semiconductors (40%).

2. Market overvaluation correction (30%).

3. Earnings surprise leading to bullish rally (15%).

4. Persistent flat performance (15%).



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish credit spread by selling AMKR $26 puts and buying $24 puts, targeting a modest price range amid high implied volatility, with a strong probability of profit. Alternatively, consider a long volatility approach with AMKR $28 calls and $29 calls for a bullish upside, balancing risk with potential gains in turbulent markets. Focus on options expiring within a month for higher theta decay.


November 19, 2024


AMKOR Technology Forecast

AMKR        AMKOR Technology

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