AMR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Flat implied volatility and a stable AI forecast suggest a potential upside with a 0.5% increase Helium.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical declines imply risk of further price drops Helium.




Potential Outcomes: 60% probability of stagnation, 40% chance of decline linked to sector volatility HeliumHelium.




Trading Oracle: Profit by selling call spreads, targeting $210 strike, utilizing Helium's short volatility model. Capitalize on 68% probability of profit with a 29% return and a 37-day outlook .



January 16, 2025


Alta Mesa Resources Forecast

AMR        Alta Mesa Resources











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMR



CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.91)


NINE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NINE  Nine Energy Service (0.9)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.89)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.89)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMR



APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (-0.0)


SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (0.01)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (0.02)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.02)


PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMR



GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (-0.89)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (-0.89)


GVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GVA  Granite Construction (-0.9)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.9)


XLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLP  Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (-0.91)









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