APEI Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Increasing enrollment rates and strategic partnerships signal strong growth potential for APEI, likely driving stock price upward as market sentiment turns positive.




Bearish Case: Persisting economic challenges and declining demand in the education sector may hinder APEI’s recovery, keeping prices under pressure and increasing volatility in the near term.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 25% chance of 20% price increase from new partnerships.
  • 30% chance of stabilization due to mixed market conditions.
  • 45% chance of a 15% decline if enrollment continues to drop.




Trading Oracle: Engage in a bull call spread, acquiring the APEI 12/20/2024 20.00 Call and offloading the 22.50 Call. This strategic move capitalizes on elevated implied volatility while setting a favorable risk-reward profile, banking on expected enrollment growth to propel prices higher.



December 10, 2024


American Public Education Forecast

APEI        American Public Education











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