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AR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AR's strong price increase of 4154.9% over five years, combined with backwardation in volatility, suggests potential for continued upside. High call option volume indicates bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Significant implied volatility and insider sales suggest potential price decline. Concerns about fracking's sustainability and natural gas price volatility further threaten Antero's stability.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% price increase due to bullish sentiment.

2. 30% potential decline from market pressures and insider sales.

3. 30% stability due to mixed signals and mean reversion.

March 18, 2025

Antero Resources Forecast

AR Antero Resources

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AR

SCHW Charles Schwab (0.76)

DESP Despegar.com (0.74)

BB BlackBerry (0.71)

GTLS Chart Industries (0.71)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AR

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.0)

AMLX AMLX (-0.0)

CALX Calix (0.0)

PLAB Photronics (-0.01)

CLSK Cleanspark (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AR

IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.67)

MFA MFA Financial (-0.7)

SJM J.M. Smucker (-0.73)

RARE Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (-0.76)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.84)

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