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AR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The term structure indicates implied volatility backwardation, suggesting bullish sentiment. Historical returns show potential for upward movement given AR's resilience over the past five years.

Bearish Case: High short-term implied volatility and past significant declines indicate risk. Heavy put volume suggests bearish pressure, amplified by natural gas price challenges.

Potential Outcomes: Price increase by 40% (30% chance) driven by bullish sentiment and positive natural gas market trends.
Moderate decline by 30% (50% chance) due to high short-term volatility and market pressures.
Stability at current levels (20% chance) given mixed signals and market neutrality.

April 13, 2025

Antero Resources Forecast

AR Antero Resources

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AR

BB BlackBerry (0.81)

DAN Dana (0.79)

MAIN Main Street (0.74)

FRSH Freshworks (0.69)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.67)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AR

PDD Pinduoduo (-0.0)

HIG Hartford Financial Services (0.0)

ECL Ecolab (-0.01)

OUT Outfront Media (-0.01)

HRI Herc (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AR

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.73)

CL Colgate-Palmolive (-0.73)

EIX Edison International (-0.78)

MREO Mereo Biopharma Group Plc (-0.79)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.86)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.