AR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AR's strong price increase of 4154.9% over five years, combined with backwardation in volatility, suggests potential for continued upside. High call option volume indicates bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: Significant implied volatility and insider sales suggest potential price decline. Concerns about fracking's sustainability and natural gas price volatility further threaten Antero's stability.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% price increase due to bullish sentiment.

2. 30% potential decline from market pressures and insider sales.

3. 30% stability due to mixed signals and mean reversion.



March 18, 2025


Antero Resources Forecast

AR        Antero Resources











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AR



UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.0)


AMLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMLX  AMLX (-0.0)


CALX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALX  Calix (0.0)


PLAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLAB  Photronics (-0.01)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AR



IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONS  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.67)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (-0.7)


SJM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SJM  J.M. Smucker (-0.73)


RARE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RARE  Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (-0.76)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.84)









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