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ASML Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ASML’s strategic position in EUV technology and demand from AI chip makers sustain long-term growth prospects, supported by stabilizing implied volatility and strong historical performance.



Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and elevated valuations pose risks, with recent AI disruptions and trade uncertainties potentially affecting supply chains and investor sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued growth driven by EUV demand (40%);

2) Geopolitical risks induce decline (30%);

3) Flat trading due to market neutrality (30%).



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread: buy ASML $700 calls, sell $720 calls, expiring in 30 days. This strategy leverages current neutral volatility conditions to capture upside with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Historical resilience in demand and Helium’s positive edge support this approach.


January 29, 2025


New York Shares Forecast

ASML        New York Shares

4 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

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36 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

49 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts











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BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.81)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ASML


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (0.0)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (0.01)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (-0.01)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.01)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ASML


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (-0.78)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.78)


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (-0.79)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.8)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (-0.8)







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