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ASML Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ASML’s strategic position in EUV technology and demand from AI chip makers sustain long-term growth prospects, supported by stabilizing implied volatility and strong historical performance.



Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and elevated valuations pose risks, with recent AI disruptions and trade uncertainties potentially affecting supply chains and investor sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued growth driven by EUV demand (40%);

2) Geopolitical risks induce decline (30%);

3) Flat trading due to market neutrality (30%).



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread: buy ASML $700 calls, sell $720 calls, expiring in 30 days. This strategy leverages current neutral volatility conditions to capture upside with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Historical resilience in demand and Helium’s positive edge support this approach.


January 29, 2025


New York Shares Forecast

ASML        New York Shares

4 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

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36 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

49 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts











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VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.84)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (0.84)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.82)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ASML


AL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AL  Air Lease Corp (-0.0)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (0.0)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (-0.01)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.01)


PBPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBPB  Potbelly (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ASML


DPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPST  Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (-0.83)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.83)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (-0.83)


TPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPG  TPG (-0.84)


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.88)







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