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ATO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Stable dividends, strong institutional backing, and favorable backwardation reflect potential upside despite market uncertainties.

Bearish Case: Energy transition risks and regulatory changes could undermine growth, heightened by elevated implied volatility and social discontent.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of dividend-driven stability support.
30% risk of energy transition challenges.
10% likelihood of market/regulatory volatility affecting growth.

May 29, 2025

Atmos Energy Forecast

ATO Atmos Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ATO

PPL PPL (0.97)

ORI Old Republic International (0.93)

PAYX Paychex (0.91)

ALL Allstate (0.88)

SAP Sap SE (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ATO

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.0)

HAYW Hayward (0.0)

HRI Herc (-0.01)

SABR Sabre (-0.01)

DNA Ginkgo Bioworks (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ATO

NVAX Novavax (-0.9)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.9)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.91)

ASC Ardmore Shipping (-0.93)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.93)

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