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AU Forecast



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: With an upward trend in implied volatility suggesting increased market confidence, AU may benefit from favorable macroeconomic indicators, pushing prices above $25 in coming weeks.



Bearish Case: A significant risk lies in the high volatility levels and potential macroeconomic downturns, which could lead AU prices to drop below $21 due to investor fears.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rebound to $26 (40%);

2. Dip below $21 (30%);

3. Stabilization around $24 (30%). Increased volatility may spur speculative trading, impacting price dynamics.



Trading Oracle: Expect volatility-driven fluctuations. Consider a bullish strategy with a debit spread; buy the $24 call and sell the $26 call, capitalizing on higher implied volatility with a favorable risk/reward dynamic. Profit from upward price movement as sentiment improves.


December 19, 2024


AngloGold Ashanti Ltd Forecast

AU        AngloGold Ashanti Ltd

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