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AVIV Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AVIV’s historical return surface shows potential for moderate gains over time, especially if geopolitical conditions improve, aligning with its modest growth forecast.

Bearish Case: Recent conflicts and geopolitical tensions align with historical data indicating a high likelihood of stagnation or minor declines, overshadowing other positive aspects.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of stagnation due to ongoing geopolitical tensions.
30% chance of moderate recovery if tensions ease.
20% chance of slight decline from continued instability.

June 26, 2025

American Century ETF Trust - Avantis International Large Cap Value Forecast

AVIV American Century ETF Trust - Avantis International Large Cap Value

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AVIV

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.95)

EWP BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Spain (0.93)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.86)

FNV Franco-Nevada (0.8)

UBER Uber (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AVIV

BLK Blackrock (-0.0)

HBAN Huntington Bancshares (-0.0)

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.0)

PDD Pinduoduo (-0.0)

ENS Enersys (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AVIV

SPCE Virgin Galactic (-0.61)

FUN Cedar Fair (-0.62)

SAM Boston Beer Co. (-0.64)

HP Helmerich & Payne (-0.65)

FDX Fedex (-0.67)

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