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AWR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AWR's mean-reverting pattern and stable dividend yield, combined with low implied volatility on call options, create an attractive environment for potential upside recovery. Infrastructure investments further add to growth potential.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility on put options suggests market skepticism, potentially exacerbated by environmental regulatory shifts. Combined with limited recent trading volume, this may indicate bearish pressures.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance AWR remains stable due to consistent dividend yield.

2. 35% likelihood of a moderate rise driven by infrastructure investments.

3. 25% chance of decline due to regulatory challenges affecting water utilities.

April 19, 2025

American States Water Forecast

AWR American States Water

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AWR

FE Firstenergy (0.77)

UNH Unitedhealth (0.76)

CCK Crown Holdings (0.76)

SPYD SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (0.76)

EIX Edison International (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AWR

PGJ Invesco Golden Dragon China (-0.0)

BSY Bentley Systems (-0.0)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.0)

MRVL Marvell Technology (-0.0)

WNC Wabash National (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AWR

ETR Entergy (-0.68)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.68)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.68)

DAN Dana (-0.69)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.73)

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