AWR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AWR's mean-reverting pattern and stable dividend yield, combined with low implied volatility on call options, create an attractive environment for potential upside recovery. Infrastructure investments further add to growth potential.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility on put options suggests market skepticism, potentially exacerbated by environmental regulatory shifts. Combined with limited recent trading volume, this may indicate bearish pressures.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance AWR remains stable due to consistent dividend yield.

2. 35% likelihood of a moderate rise driven by infrastructure investments.

3. 25% chance of decline due to regulatory challenges affecting water utilities.



April 19, 2025


American States Water Forecast

AWR        American States Water











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AWR



FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.77)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (0.76)


CCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCK  Crown Holdings (0.76)


SPYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYD  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (0.76)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AWR



PGJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGJ  Invesco Golden Dragon China (-0.0)


BSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSY  Bentley Systems (-0.0)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.0)


MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (-0.0)


WNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WNC  Wabash National (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AWR



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.68)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.68)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (-0.68)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.69)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.73)









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