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AWR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AWR's historical mean-reverting behavior suggests potential recovery. Current low-volatility opportunities and infrastructure investments provide upside potential, supported by steady dividend yields.

Bearish Case: Higher put volumes and uncertain regulatory environment signal caution. With elevated implied volatility in lower strike prices, market sentiment appears skeptical, reflecting potential near-term headwinds.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of stability due to ongoing infrastructure investments and market conditions.
30% probability of decline due to regulatory pressures and bearish sentiment.
30% likelihood of price recovery driven by mean-reversion and investment confidence.

March 18, 2025

American States Water Forecast

AWR American States Water

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AWR

PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics (0.84)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.82)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.82)

FE Firstenergy (0.82)

UNH Unitedhealth (0.8)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AWR

WB Weibo (0.0)

UUUU Energy Fuels (-0.0)

GTLB Gitlab (0.01)

MNST Monster Beverage (-0.01)

PTLO Portillos (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AWR

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.72)

TRIP TripAdvisor (-0.72)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.74)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.78)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.78)

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