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BABA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Alibaba's strong focus on AI and cloud expansion, combined with significant share buybacks and global market strategies, could drive growth and investor confidence.

Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory risks, competitive pressures, and geopolitical tensions continue to threaten Alibaba's market share and revenue stability, indicating potential downside.

Potential Outcomes: International and cloud growth: 38%
Regulatory pressures stifle growth: 40%
Economic recovery boosts sales: 15%
Intensified competition: 7%

April 10, 2025

Alibaba Forecast

BABA Alibaba

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BABA

YINN Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares (0.89)

SATS EchoStar (0.85)

FNF Fidelity National Financial (0.85)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.84)

TW Tradeweb Markets (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BABA

FLR Fluor (-0.0)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (-0.01)

IHF BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers (-0.02)

APPN Appian (0.03)

MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp - (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BABA

CLW Clearwater Paper (-0.8)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.8)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.81)

ATKR Atkore (-0.81)

VRNT Verint Systems (-0.83)

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