BANC Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The merger with PacWest, bolstered by insider purchases and liquidity injections, may lead BANC to increase profitability and market confidence, driving the stock above $20.




Bearish Case: Persistent regional banking crises, high commercial real estate exposure, and integration challenges could suppress BANC's stock, potentially reverting to levels below $15.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Successful merger synergy: 60% chance, enhancing profitability.
  • Continuous deposit declines: 25% chance, harming financials.
  • Market skepticism increases volatility: 15% chance, leading to further price drops.




Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish strategy with a call debit spread, e.g., $17.50/$20.00 targeting a short expiration (30-90 days). The implied volatility trend suggests potential market upside, with high reward-to-risk configurations pointing towards profitability.



December 03, 2024


Banc of California Forecast

BANC        Banc of California











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TRMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRMB  Trimble (0.8)


LYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYV  Live Nation Entertainment (0.79)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.76)


SHAK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHAK  Shake Shack (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BANC



MU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MU  Micron Technology (0.0)


PENN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PENN  Penn National Gaming (-0.0)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (0.01)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (-0.01)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BANC



TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (-0.51)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.52)


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (-0.52)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (-0.58)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.63)









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