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Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: BRY's recent stabilization in price (-17.2% from two months ago) suggests potential for recovery, especially with successful niche market expansions and strategic partnerships looming, aligning with historically favorable return likelihoods after two years.

Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory challenges and high observed volatility raise concerns about sustained price declines. The historical return surface indicates significant risk for losses, especially under bearish market conditions, contradicting any recovery narratives.

Potential Outcomes:

1. BRY experiences moderate recovery (60%);

2. Stagnation and continued volatility (25%);

3. Regulatory setbacks hinder growth (15%). Analysis includes macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment, reflecting historical patterns and recent performance trends.

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October 20, 2024