AI BXMT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: BXMT's robust 12.6% dividend yield and 126% coverage indicate financial resilience. The portfolio's 95% performance rate across diverse sectors supports a bullish outlook, especially if interest rates stabilize or decline, enhancing returns.


Bearish Case: Significant exposure to struggling office properties could lead to increased credit risks and further dividend cuts. Recent 39% rise in loan loss reserves denotes heightened concerns about future profitability amid ongoing economic challenges.


Potential Outcomes: 70% chance BXMT maintains dividend coverage due to portfolio strength; 20% chance of further dividend cuts from office struggles; 10% chance rising rates boost net interest income and improve returns.


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September 03, 2024


Blackstone Mortgage Forecast

BXMT      Blackstone Mortgage











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PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.89)


LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (0.89)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BXMT



CHRW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHRW  C.H. Robinson Worldwide (0.0)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.0)


STNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNE  StoneCo (0.0)


AFRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFRM  Affirm (0.0)


SPTL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPTL  Active Trust - SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BXMT



STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.85)


FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRO  Frontline (-0.85)


SPOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPOT  Spotify Technology (-0.86)


IMPP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMPP  Imperial Petroleum (-0.86)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.87)





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