AI BXSL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: BXSL's dominant position in first-lien senior secured loans, coupled with a strong financial performance and growth in EBITDA, suggests resilience and potential upside as loan recovery continues. Lower implied volatility forecasts boost the attractiveness of call options.


Bearish Case: Market skepticism persists due to high put volume and increased implied volatility, indicating potential for increased downward pressure on BXSL. External economic conditions, especially interest rate fluctuations, could negatively impact returns, suggesting caution.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable growth (60% probability) driven by strong fundamentals and consistent earnings.

2. Short-term correction (30%) due to volatility and market skepticism.

3. Major economic downturn (10%) affecting BXSL’s financial performance due to sector sensitivities.


Trading Oracle: Utilize bullish debit spreads with BXSL calls around the $30 strike for September expiration, capitalizing on lower implied volatility and favorable risk/reward dynamics. Consider future market movements for further bullish positions in early 2025; focus on strong rebounds.


August 24, 2024


Blackstone Secured Lending Fund. Forecast

BXSL      Blackstone Secured Lending Fund.











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CHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHD  Church & Dwight Co. (0.92)


WFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFC  Wells Fargo (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BXSL



DINO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DINO  HF Sinclair (-0.0)


REM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REM  iShares Mortgage Real Est (-0.01)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.01)


TRUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRUP  Trupanion (0.01)


BTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BTI  British American Tobacco (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BXSL



CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (-0.86)


NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (-0.88)


IGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGT  International Game Technology (-0.88)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.89)


FWRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FWRD  Forward Air (-0.91)


BXSL News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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