Bullish Case: CACI's strong historical performance and recent mean-reverting price action imply potential upside. Helium AI's higher implied volatility forecast suggests market underestimation of forthcoming positive moves.


Bearish Case: With AI price forecast nearly neutral and a negative correlation to AI forecasts, there is potential for downside if market complacency regarding CACI's implied volatility is misplaced.


Potential Outcomes:

1. CACI rebounds on mean-reverting trend: 40%.

2. Market reacts to undervalued implied volatility: 30%.

3. CACI declines due to overestimation of bullish risks: 30%.


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April 05, 2024


Registered Shares Forecast

CACI        Registered Shares
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with CACI



GBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GBX]  Greenbrier Cos. (0.86)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [COHR]  Coherent (0.82)


SUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SUM]  Summit Materials (0.82)


XLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [XLI]  Industrial Select Sector SPDR (0.81)


HRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HRI]  Herc (0.81)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to CACI



AEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AEP]  American Electric Power (-0.0)


SE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SE]  Sea (-0.0)


BG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BG]  Bunge (0.0)


LVS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LVS]  Las Vegas Sands (-0.0)


AGCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AGCO]  AGCO (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against CACI



HDGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HDGE]  Advisorshares Trust - Ranger Equity Bear (-0.74)


DOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DOG]  ProShares Short Dow30 (-0.74)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TECS]  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.75)


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HUM]  Humana (-0.77)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPXS]  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.78)





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