CBRE Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: CBRE's strategic partnerships and investments in tech enhance growth prospects; rising demand for commercial properties supports a positive outlook, with implied volatility indicating heightened market confidence.




Bearish Case: Current market volatility and heavy put option trading signal significant investor skepticism, potentially driven by economic pressures and fluctuating real estate transactions, warranting caution in bullish positions.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 60%: Continued growth from strategic initiatives and robust demand.
  • 25%: Market volatility leads to a decline in transactions, impacting performance.
  • 15%: A regulatory or economic shock triggers a sharp downturn in stock price.




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish strategy by entering a put credit spread, selling $130 puts and buying $125 puts, capitalizing on rising market volatility along with expected stability. This optimizes risk/reward with a 72% profit probability and potential annualized return of 45%. Adjust positions based on market sentiment leading into December.



November 26, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CBRE



SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.91)


TRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRP  TC Energy (0.9)


RF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RF  Regions Financial (0.9)


NOBL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOBL  ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (0.89)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CBRE



WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.0)


FPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FPI  Farmland (0.0)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.01)


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (-0.01)


HOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOG  Harley-Davidson (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CBRE



BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.76)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.78)


NAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NAT  Nordic American Tankers (-0.79)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)









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