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CCI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The 5G rollout remains a strong growth driver, with market undervaluation presenting upside potential backed by recent strategic positioning Helium.

Bearish Case: High backwardation in implied volatility and persistently weak financial performance suggest significant downside risk, compounded by recent declines Helium Helium.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of sideways movement from mean-reverting trend; 30% bearish continuation due to macroeconomic instability; 10% bullish reversal from possible strategic gains Helium Helium.

Trading Oracle: Focus on a bearish credit spread due to backwardation: Sell near-term $90 calls, buy further OTM $95 calls. Align with implied vol surface, betting on further mean-reversion. 45-day outlook optimizes time decay in current structure.

January 14, 2025

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CCI Crown Castle International

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