PRTA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: PRX005 regulatory approval, partnership with BMS, and positive Alzheimer’s trial results could drive PRTA significantly higher, appreciating over 20% by year-end.


Bearish Case: Continued weak performance, low trading volumes, and mean-reverting price action could further erode investor confidence, leading to a potential 15% decline.


Potential Outcomes: Potential outcomes:

1. PRX005 approval boost (60%),

2. Positive Phase 3 Birtamimab results (30%),

3. Continued weak performance without positive catalysts (10%). These are based on past predictions, current uncertainty, and historical data.


Trading Oracle: Trade bullish long volatility with debit spreads. Buy $22.5 November calls and sell $25 calls. Navigate PRTA’s mid-term catalyst potential and current market underpricing of volatility. Ensure tight risk management. High reward:risk ratio.


July 16, 2024


Prothena Forecast

PRTA      Prothena











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SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (0.95)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PRTA



NLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NLY  Annaly (0.0)


DRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRN  Direxion Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (-0.0)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.0)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.01)


OLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLN  Olin (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PRTA



MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.94)


VST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VST  Vistra (-0.95)


CEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CEG  Constellation Energy (-0.95)


NRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRG  NRG Energy (-0.95)


SPOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPOT  Spotify Technology (-0.95)





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