CE Forecast


Bullish Case: Consistent historical returns and favorable Volatility Surface with helium-model volatility forecast under market, suggesting potential for positive price action in the medium term.


Bearish Case: Flattened options implied volatility and recent price declines indicate market uncertainty and potential downside risk, coupled with a neutral HeliumTrades AI forecast.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% upward trend due to mean reversion and market outlook.

2. 35% flat performance due to competition and economic conditions.

3. 15% downward move from economic or geopolitical developments.


Trading Oracle: Go with a Helium Short Volatility strategy, selling put spreads (e.g., sell $125 strike puts, buy $120 strike puts expiring in ~37 days), with high win probability of 76%. Focus on capturing premium from current implied volatility, balanced risk, and a robust reward-to-risk ratio.


July 11, 2024


Series Forecast

CE      Series











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CE



KEY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEY  Keycorp (0.95)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (0.93)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.93)


URI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URI  United Rentals (0.93)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CE



WTRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WTRG  Essential Utilities (-0.0)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.0)


RH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RH  RH - (-0.0)


GENI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GENI  Genius Sports (0.0)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CE



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.87)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.88)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.89)


BOIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOIL  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.89)





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