CEE Forecast




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Social optimism and tech growth opportunities in CEE suggest potential for gains, supported by moderate historical returns.




Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and economic disparities present significant risks, possibly leading to destabilization and market downturns.




Potential Outcomes: Geopolitical stability improves boosting tech sector (45%). Tensions increase causing instability (35%). Stable economic growth (20%).




Trading Oracle: Favor bullish debit spreads (Helium Long Volatility) on CEE with 6-12 month outlook. Leverage moderate historical returns and tech growth while managing geopolitical risks. Expect high reward-risk potential with heightened volatility opportunity.



December 24, 2024


Central and Eastern Europe Forecast

CEE        Central and Eastern Europe











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CEE



FNGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNGS  Bank of Montreal - ZC SP ETN REDEEM 08/01/2038 USD 50 (0.86)


XLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLG  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 (0.85)


IYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IYW  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Technology (0.85)


MGNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGNI  Magnite (0.85)


BAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAC  Bank Of America (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CEE



CRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNT  Ceragon Networks (-0.0)


SNBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNBR  Sleep Number (0.0)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.0)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (-0.01)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CEE



LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (-0.8)


BLMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLMN  Bloomin Brands (-0.82)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)


BRKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRKR  Bruker (-0.82)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.83)









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