CEE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CEE's tech growth and EU integration boost investment, providing high returns over 1-2 years, with support from historical mean reversions and positive past performance.




Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and economic instability pose significant risks, with potential downturns due to negative market sentiment and volatile historical returns in short holding periods.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Stable tech growth in CEE (60%).
  • Increased geopolitical tensions causing instability (30%).
  • Innovation breakthroughs spark growth (10%).



April 25, 2025


Central and Eastern Europe Forecast

CEE        Central and Eastern Europe











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CEE



HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.87)


USAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAU  U.S. Gold (0.86)


TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (0.83)


AROC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AROC  Archrock (0.81)


KODK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KODK  Eastman Kodak (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CEE



DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.0)


BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (-0.0)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.01)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CEE



ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (-0.77)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.78)


AEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEO  American Eagle Outfitters (-0.82)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.82)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (-0.82)









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